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RT Brett Winton: Space compute distilled Manufacture a 3 ton satellite with 100kW compute for $4m At $300 per kg it costs $1m to launch At $12b per GW...

来源:马斯克X | 发布时间:2026-03-21 02:51
RT Brett Winton
Space compute distilled

Manufacture a 3 ton satellite with 100kW compute for $4m

At $300 per kg it costs $1m to launch

At $12b per GW in terrestrial compute competition the satellite can pull in $1.2m per year

3 to 4 year payback with the additional year before orbital decay producing excess cashflow.

Launch that same satellite with an AI model attached and you can generate $3.6m to $7.2m in annual revenue (dependent upon your expectations for AI model monetization growth.)

Payback period drops from 3-4 years to .5 - 1.


Brett Winton: The AI company business model distilled.

Rent compute at $10b per GW

Sell AI model output at $30b per GW.

The cost per terrestrial GW of compute is going up 6% per year.

The monetization rate per GW on selling AI models running on that compute is growing 20% per year.